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US bank failure by June 30?

US bank failure by June 30?

8%
chance
YesNo
$368 Vol.Monthly
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 3?

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 3?

17°C
2%
Yes2%No98%
15°C or below
1%
Yes1%No99%
21°C
44%
Yes44%No56%
23°C
3%
Yes3%No97%
24°C
2%
Yes2%No98%
18°C
3%
Yes3%No97%
19°C
6%
Yes6%No94%
20°C
27%
Yes27%No73%
22°C
24%
Yes24%No76%
25°C or higher
1%
Yes1%No99%
16°C
1%
Yes1%No99%
$805 Vol.Daily
BNB Up or Down on June 3?

BNB Up or Down on June 3?

18%
Down
UpDown
Live$105 Vol.Daily
Solana Up or Down on June 3?

Solana Up or Down on June 3?

28%
Down
UpDown
Live$99 Vol.Daily
XRP Up or Down on June 3?

XRP Up or Down on June 3?

84%
Up
UpDown
Live$94 Vol.Daily
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?

56%
Up
UpDown
Live$83 Vol.Daily
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 3?

Dogecoin Up or Down on June 3?

19%
Down
UpDown
Live$77 Vol.Daily
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?

Ethereum Up or Down on June 3?

24%
Down
UpDown
Live$61 Vol.Daily
Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

16%
chance
YesNo
$17 Vol.
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

10%
chance
YesNo
$14 Vol.
Will the BJP-led NDA retain power in the 2027 Indian General Elections?

Will the BJP-led NDA retain power in the 2027 Indian General Elections?

50%
chance
YesNo
$0 Vol.
Will Narendra Modi (BJP) win the 2029 Lok Sabha Election?

Will Narendra Modi (BJP) win the 2029 Lok Sabha Election?

50%
chance
YesNo
$0 Vol.
Will Donald Trump win the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?

Will Donald Trump win the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?

40%
chance
YesNo
$0 Vol.
Will the U.S. Senate pass the budget by March 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. Senate pass the budget by March 31, 2026?

50%
chance
YesNo
$0 Vol.
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

50%
chance
YesNo
$0 Vol.
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